by bagge » Sat Jun 12, 2010 12:34 pm
Is there any way you could find out the specifics as to why PT3's calcs would be more accurate? What kraada said a couple of posts ago is the answer I've been getting as well, that you dont know exactly how HEM calculates their stats. To me, it seems like they are both supposed to output the same results in the EV graphs, there is the ammount won which includes the actual results and there is the expected winnings which includes the actual results for hands that didnt go to showdown, hands that went to showdown without being all in before river, and adjusted results for hands that were all in before river (where luck plays a roll). If thats the case, one, or both, has to be making miscalculations somewhere. If your dev team made a comparison and came to the conclusion that PT3 should be more accurate, I think the details of that could be helpful in this thread.
I'm not sure if a report like this would include all hands where luck played a roll, I questioned whether this would include hands where I called allins as well but kraada told me the following would include hands both where I raised all in and where I called all in; preflop raise all-in OR flop raise all-in OR turn raise all-in AND played this month. I ran it using Ammount won, EV allin expected and hand #.
Running this report PT3 displays 49 hands whereas HEM finds 79 hands using the filter all-in on turn(or earlier). Holdemluck shows 84 allins with a few more hands in total, but I believe holdemluck disregard me having my day set to start at 7am in PT3 and I played a shorter session during the night when we went into june and holdemluck doesnt take this into account. Taking that session into account HEM has 81 all in hands, which isnt equal but still fairly close. This is a bad period for me to use for this comparison as I've been running fairly close to EV, its a short period of time, and the sample size aint that big. The graphs of both HEM and PT3 are as a result of that very close but in the past there has been differences. There are however some differences using the PT3 report above but I'm assuming that report is missing something, whether its the fact that called all ins arent included as I was told, or something completely different I'm missing I havent really bothered looking into. I dont use these graphs all that much other than to take a quick glimse at occasionally to get a grip of how I'm running overall, so its not that big of a deal to me, I just cant shake of the feeling that everything isnt right with PT3's EV graph.
I also just now see a hand in this PT3 report where the ammount won is nagative, and equal to the net expected won $. In short, this was a hand where I after raising pfr got 3bet preflop and ended up 4beting all in with my AK vs his AA. According to PT3's calculations my equity here would be 0% which surely isnt the case.